Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001930 0.002047 0.002167 0.002301 0.002447 0.002600 0.002773
2025-05-11 0.001799 0.001968 0.002150 0.002362 0.002602 0.002868 0.003184
2025-05-18 0.001681 0.001882 0.002106 0.002375 0.002692 0.003054 0.003504
2025-05-25 0.001558 0.001777 0.002026 0.002332 0.002703 0.003142 0.003706
2025-06-01 0.001468 0.001700 0.001970 0.002310 0.002731 0.003243 0.003921
2025-06-08 0.001412 0.001658 0.001949 0.002325 0.002801 0.003395 0.004205
2025-06-15 0.001346 0.001599 0.001903 0.002302 0.002820 0.003479 0.004402
2025-06-22 0.001291 0.001550 0.001867 0.002289 0.002846 0.003571 0.004613
2025-06-29 0.001238 0.001501 0.001826 0.002266 0.002858 0.003643 0.004796
2025-07-06 0.001186 0.001450 0.001781 0.002235 0.002855 0.003692 0.004949
2025-07-13 0.001125 0.001386 0.001716 0.002173 0.002805 0.003672 0.004998
2025-07-20 0.001098 0.001364 0.001704 0.002181 0.002852 0.003789 0.005254
2025-07-27 0.001080 0.001355 0.001712 0.002222 0.002952 0.003997 0.005677
2025-08-03 0.001070 0.001357 0.001735 0.002285 0.003088 0.004265 0.006217
2025-08-10 0.001044 0.001336 0.001725 0.002299 0.003152 0.004431 0.006608
2025-08-17 0.001001 0.001290 0.001678 0.002258 0.003132 0.004465 0.006782
2025-08-24 0.000967 0.001255 0.001646 0.002236 0.003139 0.004539 0.007030
2025-08-31 0.000948 0.001239 0.001639 0.002250 0.003202 0.004706 0.007452
2025-09-07 0.000918 0.001207 0.001609 0.002229 0.003207 0.004778 0.007709
2025-09-14 0.000893 0.001181 0.001585 0.002216 0.003224 0.004870 0.008009
2025-09-21 0.000866 0.001153 0.001557 0.002195 0.003226 0.004936 0.008264
2025-09-28 0.000839 0.001122 0.001525 0.002165 0.003212 0.004973 0.008467
2025-10-05 0.000805 0.001080 0.001474 0.002105 0.003145 0.004914 0.008474